Do you ever find yourself wondering what's next for the web? In our line of work we're often asked about The Next Big Thing.
I think the next big stage in the development of the web isn't going to be about building entirely *new stuff* in the same way Facebook was new. It's going to be about taking stuff that already exists - all the disparate data points we've been quietly aggregating over the last decade through billions of uploads, status updates, profiles and, latterly, checkins - and doing something profoundly human with it.
For example Foursquare today revealed details of it's new Recommendations product. This is one to watch for a couple of reasons.
What is it?
Essentially, in the same way as Google answers this question:
"What web page should I look at for information about my interest?"
..and Facebook answers the question:
"What is going on in the lives of my friends?"
..this is Foursquare's bid to be our solution for questions like this:
"Where should I go today?"
"What should I eat?"
"Where should I meet my friends?"
"What should I buy?"
..so is potentially huge in commercial terms.
How does it work?
With ~7.5m users and ~500m checkins amassed over the last 24 months Foursquare is estimated to have data on 10m bars, restaurants, stores and other venues worldwide. All this feverish data gathering means Foursquare know who's been where, when, with who and what they thought of it. This is a lot of data.
Taking the behaviour and recommedations of other users, Foursquare will recommend results - an organic coffee on the North Shore? A bar with harbour views in Manly? It's all there.
So what's at stake?
Right now we live in a world where the majority of us wouldn't dream of starting our web journeys without the Google search box. We've quietly reached a point where we'd be lost without it. In the last decade this behaviour has become second nature, and Google has become BrandZs most powerful brand in the world. From scratch.
So, web journeys start with Google - up for grabs is the same opportunity in the real world; what piece of technology becomes indespensible when we step out the front door?
Make no mistake, this is Foursquare's bid to make sure it becomes Recommendations.
For marketers this is another in a series of moves toward a world of where everyone who steps over the threshold is a potential mystery shopper. It also dovetails with another trend - new technology is increasingly being plugged back into real life. Anyone interested should some reading around "the internet of things" and related discussion - this is the realisation that, sooner or later, everything is going to exist in cyberspace. But that's another post.
For now, more than anything, projects like this represent the first few tentative steps down a very interesting road indeed. Every year we're chronicling more and more of what happens to us, in greater fidelity; the technical barriers that keep the interesting bits of data apart are crumbling.
Mat